Will there a 3rd party candidate win at least one state in the US presidential election before the US adds a 51st state
9
240Ṁ3402060
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This party means that 3 candidates win states.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
What party will the next third party candidate to win a state in the US presidential election
Will a third-party or independent candidate win any state in the 2024 or 2028 US presidential elections?
5% chance
Will there be a 51st state in the USA before 2026?
1% chance
Will a third party candidate win the 2028 USA presidential election?
2% chance
Will a third-party candidate win the US presidency by 2040?
13% chance
Will a 51st state be added to the USA before the end of 2028?
10% chance
Will there be a third party US president before 2050.
25% chance
Will there be a third party US president before 2100.
41% chance
At any point before February 1, 2045, will there be a major third party in US politics? [read desc]
32% chance
Will the US add a 51st state before the US has a president of Asian heritage
13% chance