Will Infra-Bayesianism be built on by 3+ theory or ML papers before 2025?
Basic
3
Ṁ171
Jan 1
15%
chance

"Infra-Bayesianism is a new approach to epistemology / decision theory / reinforcement learning theory, which builds on "imprecise probability" to solve the problem of prior misspecification / grain-of-truth / nonrealizability which plagues Bayesianism and Bayesian reinforcement learning. Infra-Bayesianism also naturally leads to an implementation of UDT, and (more speculatively at this stage) has applications to multi-agent theory, embedded agency and reflection." c.f. this introduction.

Will 3 or more technical papers appear on Arxiv, post-2022, which build on this work before 2025?

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules