MANIFOLD
Will Kristi Noem or Keir Starmer leave their current role first?
13
Ṁ200Ṁ2.8k
resolved Mar 5
100%99.0%
Kristi Noem out as DHS Secretary
1.0%
Keir Starmer out as UK PM

Resolves based on who leaves their current role first. Resolves when they are actually out of the position, an announcement of an intention to leave doesn’t count.

Resolves 50-50 if both still in the role on 2 Jan 2028.

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