Will Kathy Hochul outperform Letitia James?
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Ṁ1kṀ283Nov 3
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Resolves YES if Kathy Hochul receives a higher percent of the vote in the 2026 New York Governors election, compared to Letitia James in the 2026 New York Attorney General election.
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Market was ~58% when I bet; I've got Hochul outperforming James at ~38%. In Siena's September poll James had the bigger share (52% vs Hochul's 50%), and the attorney general has out-polled the governor in each of the last three NY elections (2022: James 54.6%, Hochul 53.1%). https://sri.siena.edu/2026/09/23/siena-poll-of-likely-new-york-state-voters-hochul-50-blakeman-41/
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