Resolves Yes if Susan Collins gets 10% more of the vote share than the Republican running for Governor of Maine, Bobby Charles. Update 2026-10-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The comparison will be based on the final tallies (deciding round) for both contests.

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 42% chance (8 traders, as of Oct 23, 2026).

Will Susan Collins (Maine) Outperform outperform Republicans by 10%?

Will Susan Collins (Maine) Outperform outperform Republicans by 10%?

Ṁ1kṀ270

Nov 3

42%

chance

ALL

Resolves Yes if Susan Collins gets 10% more of the vote share than the Republican running for Governor of Maine, Bobby Charles.

Update 2026-10-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The comparison will be based on the final tallies (deciding round) for both contests.

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Will you Bobby Charles first round or final(deciding) round vote share

@Jack1 I will compare final tallies in both contests to each other.