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Which Texas US House Districts will a Democrat win?
24
Ṁ1.2kṀ40k
Nov 3
4%
Texas 1st District
7%
Texas 2nd District
3%
Texas 5th District
18%
Texas 9th district Leticia Gutierrez (D) v Alex Mealer (R)
5%
Texas 12th District
82%
Texas 15th District Bobby Pulido (D) v Monica De La Cruz (R)
6%
Texas 17th district
32%
Texas 23rd district Katy Padilla Stout (D) v Brandon Herrera (R)
92%
Texas 28th district Henry Cuellar (D) v Tano Tijerina (R)
83%
Texas 34th district Vicente Gonzalez (D) v Eric Flores (R)
61%
Texas 35th district Johnny Garcia(D) v Carlos De La Cruz(R)
12%
Texas 32nd District

Resolves according to if a Democrat or Democratic caucuser wins the districts general election in 2026. Resolves according to party identification/ who they caucus with.

US Politics
Elections
2026 US Congressional Elections
U.S. Congress
Texas
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@Gen on your 2026 midterm dashboard for the house, it doesn’t have Texas 35 as a competively district, when it definitely is

I think 23 could be considered one too

And some liquidity here would be nice 😀

I add liquidity to most of my own markets but sets I lose too much of it

Thanks

opened a Ṁ5,000 YES at 25% order

@Yuna @Cactus you can set up your bots on this market if you’d like

@Jack1

Add 32 as well? That would complete the set from /NathanScott/how-many-of-the-redrawn-texas-distr.

bought Ṁ100 NO

@EvanDaniel added

reposted

25 mana to the first 10 traders who place a comment! Comment below to receive your prize.

filled a Ṁ35 YES at 52% order

@Jack1 Done. I have no idea what news could have caused Tx-35 odds to flip (I suspect it might've just been low volume shenanigans) but I'll allow a small bet on it I guess.

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 57% order

Comment below if you want a district added. I’m just adding the ones that I think have any chance of being competitive.

opened a Ṁ500 YES at 16% order

@Houston2025 @TeapotinSagittarius @polymathematic

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