IF there is a special senate election before November in South Carolina, will a Democrat win it?
9
Ṁ2.1kṀ1.1kOct 31
16%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if a democrat or a candidate who will caucus with dems wins a special election that occurs on October 31 or earlier
Resolves n/a if no special senate election in South Carolina before then
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
Who will be the GOP Nominee for Senate in South Carolina (Add Answers)
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor of South Carolina?
If this person is the Republican nominee for the 2026 South Carolina senate election, will they win?
Which party will win the 2026 South Carolina Senate race?
Will a Democrat win South Carolina for President by 2050?
20% chance
Will Democrats win the 2026 Florida Special Senate Election?
13% chance
Will the Democrat on the ballot for Senate in ME and Republican on the ballot for Senate in SC be 2026 Gov candidates?
Which Party will win the 2026 South Carolina Gubernatorial Election?
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in North Carolina?
88% chance