If no shortlist is released, everything will resolve No.
If no shortlist is released, everything will resolve No.
If no shortlist is released, everything will resolve No.
Individuals must be individuals. For example, if the Kenyan Football team was on the list, An individual born in Africa would not resolve yes, as this is a group.
Elected office is elected by the people. Being approved through a senate confirmation is not elected.
Group of people contains 1million+ people. Examples of this might be, Gen Z, Healthcare workers, Immigrants.
Pope Leo doesn’t count as having a royal title
Leader of a country https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_current_heads_of_state_and_government
Appears in green or blue on the list of current head of states and government.
If no shortlist is released, everything will resolve No.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_Person_of_the_Year#Selection
To view what has been in the shortlist previously, view the Person of the year list, and the winner and the runner ups for that year are the shortlist.
Something related to ev/ai would be, A CEO of a company in the industry, a major innovator in the industry, or perhaps the industry as itself, or a group of employees in the industry etc.
Suggest answers in the comments
Any questions please ask and I’ll clarify.
Update 2025-11-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer option "Has an official royal title?": Having an official royal title is required. The Pope being considered a monarch does not automatically qualify unless he has an official royal title.
Update 2025-11-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer option "Has an official royal title?": The Pope does not count as having an official royal title, despite being considered a monarch or sovereign of Vatican City State.
Update 2025-11-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer option "Has an official royal title? (Anything Pope Related doesn't count)": Having an official royal title is required (e.g., "King of the Belgians", "Prince", "Princess"). This is not a blanket ban on Catholic royals - Catholic royals with official royal titles (like Philippe, King of the Belgians) would qualify. The Pope does not count as having an official royal title.
Update 2025-11-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer option "Leader of a country": The Pope counts as a leader of a country, as he appears in blue or green on the Wikipedia list of current heads of state and government specified in the description.
Update 2025-12-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If no shortlist is released by Time Magazine, all answers will resolve No.
Update 2025-12-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the shortlist has not been released by the time Time Magazine announces the winner, all answers will resolve No.
Update 2025-12-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market is closing early (before the original close date of 2025-12-10) in case the shortlist is released tomorrow, to save liquidity and prevent betting on answers after the shortlist has already been released by Time Magazine.
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looks like betting on AI here may have sence if shortlist is released: https://manifold.markets/itsTomekK/will-an-ai-become-times-person-of-t
@NzJack0n is AI somehow related to Something related to artificial intelligence?
@questionyourself Shortlist is normally released before, So if they haven’t released one before they announce the winner, I’ll probably resolve no the
@questionyourself yes I know. This market is closing early, just in case the list is released tomorrow, so I save some liquidity, and people don’t bet on answers that have already been released by time. The other market, on if a list will be released will remain open.
@JussiVilleHeiskanen Anyone listed in the colour blue or green on that list counts. So yes, he counts as the leader of a country
@Jack0 Sovereign of the Vatican City State (no sniggering now): Superanus sui iuris civitatis Vaticanae
@JussiVilleHeiskanen I sent you 50 to compensate for the confusion. But the pope isn’t going to count as having a royal title
@Jack0 Anything related to the Pope not qualifying, would that include Belgian Royals who are catholic, is this a blanket ban of Catholic royals?
@JussiVilleHeiskanen No. Philippe has an official royal title, King of the Belgians. His children are prince and princesses. It’s not a blanket ban. You just need to have a royal title to count