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MANIFOLD
Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
44
Ṁ3.9kṀ9.5k
Dec 1
86%
Pope Leo XIV
76%
Donald Trump
60%
Zohran Mamdani
52%
Dario Amodei
47%
Elon Musk
36%
Marco Rubio
35%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
30%
JD Vance
24%
Christina Koch
23%
Jerome Powell
23%
Jeremy Hansen
23%
Victor Glover
22%
Sam Altman
21%
Mark Carney
21%
Reid Wiseman
20%
Bad Bunny
19%
Mojtaba Khamenei
19%
Alysa Liu
18%
James Talarico
18%
Taylor Swift

Resolves according to the shortlist released by TIME. If no shortlist is released, everything resolves no.

Must be explicitly named as the headline. Eg. If ‘The Iranian People’ was on the shortlist, Iranians like Reza Pahlavi wouldn’t count. Even if they named him in the blurb about Iranian people.

(Excludes Artemis|| , individual astronauts would resolve yes if Artemis || is named)

However if it was ‘Reza Pahlavi and the Iranian people’ Reza would resolve yes.

Suggest answers below.

  • Update 2026-04-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the Artemis II crew is listed on the shortlist as a group (e.g. 'Artemis 2'), all individual crew members resolve YES. Individual crew members have been added as separate answer options.

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bought Ṁ10 NO

If Ukraine war ends: Zelensky.

Artemis II crew

bought Ṁ100 NO

@Marnix added them as individual names

However if they are listed on the shortlist as ‘Artemis 2’

They would all resolve yes

Kylian Mbappe

Lamine Yamal

bought Ṁ5 NO

Dario

bought Ṁ10 NO

Any suggestions for answers to add?

bought Ṁ1 YES

@Jack1 Oman’s sultan perhaps?

bought Ṁ100 NO
bought Ṁ20 NO

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