Will one of the GLP agonist drugs (eg Semaglutude/Wegovy Tirzepatide/Mounjaro) have a black box warning by 2025 | Manifold

Will one of the GLP agonist drugs (eg Semaglutude/Wegovy Tirzepatide/Mounjaro) have a black box warning by 2025

21

1kṀ3423

2026

7%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

a black box warning by FDA or withdrawal from market for adverse events by 12/31/2025 resolves this market YES

Weight loss drugs

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

https://www.biospace.com/article/novo-lilly-weight-loss-drugs-under-fda-scrutiny-for-suicidal-thoughts-hair-loss/

made a related market and added a large subsidy: https://manifold.markets/AndyMartin/m5k-subsidy-will-any-fdaapproved-gl?r=QW5keU1hcnRpbg

predictedYES

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna102129

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/1656537

Glucagonlike Peptide 1–Based Therapies and Risk of Hospitalization for Acute Pancreatitis in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Population-Based Matched Case-Control Study

Singh et al tested whether glucagonlike peptide 1 (GLP-1)–based therapies such as exenatide and sitagliptin phosphate are associated with an increased risk of a

More reports of gastroparesis https://www.cnn.com/2023/07/25/health/weight-loss-diabetes-drugs-gastroparesis/index.html

They took blockbuster drugs for weight loss and diabetes. Now their stomachs are paralyzed | CNN

Doctors say more cases of people with stomach paralysis after taking popular drugs like Ozempic and Wegovy are coming to light.

Related questions

Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025?

Will either Lada Nuzhan or Jose Luis Ricon give in and inject semaglutide/tirzepatide at least 3 times before EOY 2025?

Will 10 million Americans be on semaglutide (or yet-to-be-approved equally good or superior alternatives) by the end of 2030?

Will a drug company pay >$1m in a class action suit based on their statements about their GLP1 inhibitor by 2026?

[M$5k subsidy] Will any FDA-approved GLP-1 agonists be withdrawn from the market for safety reasons by...

Will a majority government owned company introduce a new GLP-1 drug before 2040?

Will a GLP-1 agonist diabetes / weight loss drug be the top bestselling drug in 2025?

Will GLP-1 agonists help stop or reverse the US obesity trend by end of 2027

Before 2033, will semaglutide be shown to improve lifespan, when prescribed to overweight people?

Will a GLP-1 receptor agonist (Ozempic-like drug) be added to public water supplies in the United States by 2075?

Related questions

Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025?

Will a majority government owned company introduce a new GLP-1 drug before 2040?

Will either Lada Nuzhan or Jose Luis Ricon give in and inject semaglutide/tirzepatide at least 3 times before EOY 2025?

Will a GLP-1 agonist diabetes / weight loss drug be the top bestselling drug in 2025?

Will 10 million Americans be on semaglutide (or yet-to-be-approved equally good or superior alternatives) by the end of 2030?

Will GLP-1 agonists help stop or reverse the US obesity trend by end of 2027

Will a drug company pay >$1m in a class action suit based on their statements about their GLP1 inhibitor by 2026?

Before 2033, will semaglutide be shown to improve lifespan, when prescribed to overweight people?

[M$5k subsidy] Will any FDA-approved GLP-1 agonists be withdrawn from the market for safety reasons by...

Will a GLP-1 receptor agonist (Ozempic-like drug) be added to public water supplies in the United States by 2075?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules