![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252F8HGrn5LIs2.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3Dcaa7dade-44c2-4a63-8892-deb8ec85d4ad&w=3840&q=75)
Will there be significant social unrest, protests, riots, etc. over the results of the 2024 presidential election?
Basic
91
Ṁ6.9k2025
77%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Significant enough to make national news and be a talking point. The January 6th riot in 2020 would have counted, as would the "not my president" protests in 2016.
A single news article on the protest doesn't count; it needs to be a part of The Discourse™. A big thing that even someone who isn't very involved in politics would probably hear about on social media.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Conditional on Trump/Biden winning the 2024 presidential, will there be a large scale rioting in the US before 2026 ?
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
43% chance
Will there be a major spike in protests in the US in 2024 (comparable to the 2020 George Floyd protests)?
14% chance
Will a police incident lead to widespread protests in the US in 2024?
41% chance
Will there be significant Right-Wing riots between Presidential Election Day 2024 (11/05/24) and inauguration (01/20/25)?
25% chance
Will the 2024 presidential election result be disputed?
60% chance
Will there be any upsets in the 2024 US Presidential election?
59% chance
Will there be significant BLM riots preceding the 2024 US presidential election?
17% chance
What will be the outcome of the 2024 elections?
If the Republicans do not win the US 2024 election, will the civil unrest 'trump' the 2020 civil unrest after Biden won?
39% chance