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MANIFOLD
Will the "predictions on predictions" group still be active at the end of 2023?
18
Ṁ350Ṁ2.4k
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
YES

Ok, I only created this for the joke value. But I'll resolve it honorably!

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predictedNO

Haha, good joke. Predictions on Predictions on Predictions!!!

If the group is deleted but another is created & active with the same name and intention, does it resolve as Yes?

@o Yes. In order for this to resolve YES:

  • There must be a group titled "Predictions on Predictions". (Capitalization doesn't matter.)

  • A significant number of markets about predictions are being made.

  • Those markets are actually being bet in by several other people, indicating they weren't made just to game this market.

  • A significant fraction of those markets are in the "Predictions on Predictions" group.

Oh damn, you gave me a lot of power with this market!!

Oh no, you're gonna make it harder for me when I want to search to add something into the predictions on predictions group. Is this a secret plan to cause people to move to Meta-forecasting? 🙂

@jack Nope. I didn't even realize there was another redundant group for that. That's upsetting. I wonder if we could get a way to merge groups?

@jack He just created this market so I could rug pull and make a fortune at some unknown future date/time.