Will Scott Alexander have more followers on Manifold than Eliezer Yudkowsky at the end of 2023?
32
570Ṁ3045
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO

As of market creation, Scott and Eliezer are the top two most-followed market creators after memestiny, and they're running neck and neck. Who will be victorious?

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September 27: @EliezerYudkowsky currently has 501 followers, more than @ScottAlexander's 458.

predictedNO

November 29:

@EliezerYudkowsky 699

@ScottAlexander 580

The only way this flips is if scott creates a very viral market

predictedNO

@TheBayesian A few days before resolution: Eliezer 754, Scott 620

Will Scott Alexander have more followers on Manifold than Eliezer Yudkowsky at the end of 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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