Will Marc Andreessen become a major investor in Anthropic before AGI is reached, as prophesied by Scott Alexander?
4
100Ṁ462035
45%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/my-antichrist-lecture
"Major investor" will be determined subjectively, by whether I think the spirit of the prophecy has been fulfilled.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2030?
36% chance
Will we get AGI before 2040?
78% chance
Will we get AGI before 2041?
79% chance
Will we get AGI before 2043?
80% chance
Sam Altman right about AGI by end of 2025?
7% chance
Will Robin Hanson get AGI-pilled in 2025?
15% chance
Will Andreessen Horowitz still be active in 2025?
95% chance
Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026?
43% chance
Will Sam Altman raise at least one trillion dollars for an AI project?
4% chance
Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?
17% chance