Will Thinking Machines surpass Anthropic in revenue before 2029?
11
Ṁ1kṀ3.4k2028
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
ARR, at any point before 2029.
If either company is acquired / merged into some other larger company, we'll vibe-resolve with 2029 AI (it will be very smart)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Anthropic Annual Recurring Revenue be under $90bn end of 2026?
15% chance
Anthropic 2027 revenue
Will Extropic AI be worth at least $100 million before 2028?
36% chance
Anthropic 2026 Revenue > $60B?
57% chance
Anthropic 2026 Revenue > $50B?
80% chance
Will Anthropic be the first among the "Big Three" private AI labs to achieve profitable quarterly earnings?
63% chance
Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026?
When will Anthropic surpass 30B revenue run rate?
4/7/26
Will Anthropic have $1 billion or more in revenue in 2025?
99% chance
OpenAI and Anthropic will both hit their 2026 revenue goals in 2026
92% chance