Will Manifold have a good search function by the end of 2023?
Will Manifold have a good search function by the end of 2023?
103
1.5kṀ22k
resolved Jan 5
Resolved
YES

The search box right now seems to be searching the title, text, and comments of markets, plus username of the market creator, and maybe other things too, resulting in a huge number of false positives. This makes it frustrating to find the markets I want to find; I might remember a word from the market's name, but have to scroll through 50 unrelated markets that have that word in a comment somewhere. (A recent example is that I wanted to search for a market that was about a certain user, and had to scroll through every market that was created by that user.)

This market resolves to YES if, by the end of the year, I no longer find the search function particularly frustrating and can easily find the things I want to find.

See last year's market for more specific complaints and discussion.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1,266
2Ṁ369
3Ṁ148
4Ṁ96
5Ṁ81


Sort by:
predictedNO 1y

You know I gotta hand it to Manifold; their search function has gotten a lot better. There are still some minor bugs here and there, and it's missing a lot of advanced features, but it's convenient enough that I usually choose to use it over my own custom search page despite the latter having far more possible filters. The "users" tab is also particularly useful. I think it can definitely still be improved, and it's useless for more technical things like "give me a count or export of all markets that match these criteria", but it passes the bar of "I no longer find the search function particularly frustrating and can easily find the things I want to find".

Really regretting not selling my NO before this closed, but hey, at least this way no one can credibly accuse me of bias!

predictedNO 1y

Seems like this should resolve as NO, given the creator's last comment. Or did the search become much better after November 20th?

1y

Search got a lot better recently. I'd be interested in any further feedback on how to improve it.

Any frustrating cases where search isn't giving good results?

predictedNO 1y

@JamesGrugett The new search has been pretty nice! I do miss the typo-correction in the cases when it worked; I recently searched for "trillionare" and didn't see markets that correctly spelled it "trillionaire", which I believe the old search would have shown. But knowing when to "fix" typos and when not to is GAI-complete, so we can't really have it both ways. I'll keep trying it and report back once I have more data.

predictedYES 1y

@JamesGrugett I was looking for your market on whether Manifold Love will have 1k+ DAU and was searching "Manifold Love James" and it wasn't pulling up. It should have been "Manifold.Love James" or something to pull up, but seems like the two words within the single text string still should have pulled something up

predictedNO 1y

https://manifold.markets/browse?q=astral+altman&s=score&f=open&ct=ALL&topic=for-you

https://manifold.markets/jacksonpolack/astralcodexten-with-sam-altmans-fir

But searching for either "astralcodexten altman" or "astralc" will pull it up.

I'm gonna still have to go with "incomprehensible sorcery" over "usable search function" for the moment.

1y

An easy way for Manifold staff to manipulate this market is to resolve this following market to YES too:

2y

The Destiny markets still don't show up in the search results, and who knows what other results are missing. I consider both search boxes completely untrustworthy at this point; a lack of search results means very little about whether that market actually exists.

Betting down a little since as far as I know Manifold hasn't tried to fix anything in the past several weeks.

predictedNO 2y

Made a market about this specific issue, since I think it's currently the most problematic one.

predictedNO 2y

Apparently the current two search functions can return different results on the exact same input.

predictedYES 2y

Just searched for "destiny magic 100", and got no results.

https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-destiny-own-a-magic-card-worth

predictedNO 2y

The fact that this market has gotten a lot of traders recently feels like it should have made the probability go up?

2y

There's also no way to search for strings that include a space.

This is false. Market searches with spaces and exact searches have been possible for months using quotes. I've also just added it to the quick search.

Exclusion searches like coin -crypto are possible as well (and have been for months.) See algolia's documentation on this.

predictedNO 2y

@Sinclair Good to know! I was unaware. I thought I had tested to see if quotes worked and found that they had not, but either I tested before that functionality was added, or I made a mistake somewhere.

predictedNO 2y

Amazing. They made it worse.

2y

@IsaacKing you can still use the old search page. sorry it isn't very discoverable.

predictedNO 2y

@Sinclair I appreciate that still being an option. (I usually find myself navigating to the homepage first, which takes a while to load, then clicking "browse markets" in order to search.)

2y

@Sinclair It has lost a bit of functionality there too. You used to be able to search by Highest/Lowest %.

2y
Comment hidden

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy