Will Manifold be acquired by Alphabet by end of 2030? | Manifold

Will Manifold be acquired by Alphabet by end of 2030?

41

1kṀ2388

2031

3%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves positively if Alphabet (the corporation) or a subsidiary purchases 50%+ of Manifold's equity by 2030-12-31.

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predictedNO

I'm interested in how low this would need to go before we start seeing "Yes" trades

predictedNO

@CarsonGale Google famously had an internal prediction platform and they shut it down. Hard to believe they'd buy it

predictedNO

@MP I would buy a limit order at a quarter of a percent if I could

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