Will humans create a black hole by 2100?
19
64
460
2100
10%
chance

Resolves YES if humans create a black hole before the close date, otherwise resolves no. If it's discovered that human activity in the past has created black holes, such as in LHC collisions, that also counts.

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predicts NO

what if cosmic rays are constantly creating tiny quantum black holes that instantly evaporate, and LHC did the same thing?

@JonathanRay Should count.

Not betting past 2023, but IMO "No", and the fears of LHC doing so was mostly media-driven.

Current theories predict we are off on the energy density by about 10^18, so even 10x every 10 years will not get us there by 2100.

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Not bad @ManifoldDream. Not bad at all.