Will Georgia (the country) surpass the population of Georgia (the state) by the end of 2040?
7
141
190
2041
7%
chance

As of market creation, the state has ~10.7 million people and the country has ~3.7 million.

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That's quite a big population difference to be overturned in 18 years, and the population of Georgia the country doesn't even seem to be going up, when it would need to at least triple. Meanwhile the population of the state is increasing quickly. Is there any reason at all to think that this will happen?

@lisamarsh Nuclear war seems more likely to directly target the state than the country. Other than that, not really.

Are you excluding Abkhazia and South Ossetia?

@Yev They're both too small to contribute significantly to the total population numbers, but in general I'll count any area that is recognized by most of the world to be a part of Georgia. (Not necessarily officially. I wouldn't count Taiwan as a part of China, even though the governments of most countries officially recognize it as such in order to stay on good terms with China.)

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