Will Destiny debate someone about AI existential risk by the end of 2023?
108
1.9kṀ19k
resolved Jun 27
Resolved
YES

The debate must primarily focus on existential risk, not just briefly touch on it and move on.

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Obviously not a particularly interesting debate, but by the intellectual standards of Destiny and his followers, I think this definitely qualifies. The discussion was explicitly about existential risk, Destiny disagreed with whoever that other person was, they (however poorly) discussed substantive issues.

predictedYES
predictedYES

@IsaacKing IMO this can be resolved.

predictedNO

@Agh Disagree, wasn’t a debate by any reasonable definition. They didn’t even disagree

@MouthyInfidel actually it says "debate" right there in the thumbnail.

@Agh This is weaker evidence than the fact that there literally was not a debate in the video

predictedYES

@MouthyInfidel There was a debate and it was about existential risk from AI, it just wasn't between Destiny and an interlocutor. He was basically an observer or moderator at best. So you're right, obviously it doesn't resolve the market.

@Agh what caused the change in your opinion?

predictedYES

@DylanSlagh a viewer called in yesterday and discussed the topic with him. It wasn't a full on formal debate but i hope it still counts.

This seems like the safest bet in the world, no? If he didn't talk about it in 8 months I would be shocked.

predictedNO

@Fantazy Nah dude no chance. Destiny has only briefly chatted about AI and xrisk as a curiosity where he's mostly asking questions. I doubt he'll stake out a hard position on the issue in 2023. His debates are mostly around policy positions with concrete data and doesn't make large jumps in reasoning. IMO AI xrisk is waaaay too abstract and far outside his wheelhouse.

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