Which famous people will name AI as an existential threat before 2026? [Mega Independent]
41
1.8kṀ12k
2026
50%
Pope Leo XIV
43%
Joe Rogan
39%
Jordan Petersen
23%
Slavoj Žižek
23%
Giorgia Meloni
23%
Xi Jinping
21%
Donald Trump
20%
Tom Cruise
20%
Joe Biden
19%
Kamala Harris
14%
Oprah Winfrey
13%
Greta Thunberg
10%
Kazuo Ishiguro
7%
Taylor Swift
5%
Kim Jong Un
4%
Lionel Messi
Resolved
YES
Vladimir Putin
Resolved
YES
Ursula von der Leyen

Pope Francis just came out with a call for binding global treaty to regulate AI:

Francis called for ethical scrutiny of the "aims and interest of (AI's) owners and developers" warning that some applications of AI "may pose a risk to our survival and endanger our common home," a reference to the earth.

https://www.reuters.com/technology/pope-calls-binding-global-treaty-artificial-intelligence-2023-12-14/

Which other famous people will make similar statements? Feel free to add your own people.

Needs to be a public statement picked up by credible news source, said in interview, personal writings, or similar.

I might bet in this market, but will avoid taking large enough positions to impair my judgment.

"Existential risk" broadly defined as on the EA Forum Wiki:

An existential risk is a risk that threatens the destruction of the long-term potential of life.[1] An existential risk could threaten the extinction of humans (and other sentient beings), or it could threaten some other unrecoverable collapse or permanent failure to achieve a potential good state.

Note that it is a broader definition than extinction risk, and could also cover things like totalitarian lock-in. However, smaller negative effects such as discrimination, bias, significant economic damages, election tampering, etc, would not be enough to resolve YES.

Let me know if further clarifications are needed.

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