Will @ButtocksCocktoasten resolve their Trump market correctly?

Rationalussy•Meta-markets on improper resolution

111

Ṁ12K

Ṁ490

resolved Jan 2

Resolved

YES

ALL

/ButtocksCocktoasten/will-realdonaldtrump-write-a-tweet

Absent extenuating circumstances, if it hasn't resolved by the end of January 2024, that counts as incorrect.

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4 Comments

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bought Ṁ5,000 of YES

@IsaacKing Resolves YES

What happens if Manifold intervenes to force/redo an incorrect resolution?

predicted YES

@StrayClimb If they resolve it incorrectly (or seem to have abandoned the market completely), and Manifold chooses to step in, this resolves NO.

bought Ṁ0 of YES

I wanted to place a bet, but I couldn't bring myself to move the probability away from 69%, so I placed a limit order instead.

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