Will anyone stream commentary on real-time market trading on Manifold by the end of February?

Ṁ573

Ṁ170

resolved Mar 3

Resolved

ALL

In order to qualify for this market, the stream must:

Be about an exciting market where lots of people are trading very quickly while the commentary is going on.
Last at least 10 minutes.
Have a commentator who is entertaining and knows enough about Manifold to provide useful commentary on what's going on and the strategies people may be using.
Be well-advertised in advance, and get at least 10 viewers throughout the course of the stream, ignoring any alt accounts or people only there because they were paid to be so.

One of the self-referential gamble markets seems most likely to be successful, becuase the bets themselves are what provides most of the information. For something like an election market, the information comes from vote counts, and the market itself is not the source of the excitement; people would rather just watch the vote counting.

Get Ṁ600 play money

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
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2		Ṁ77
3		Ṁ54

32 Comments

6 Holders

23 Trades

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Did this happen?

predicted NO

@IsaacKing no I tried :(

@DesTiny i found out today that manifold has a twitch bot integrated into their labs section now, did you know?

predicted YES

@firstuserhere yeah I saw that, it fucked up the list of everything so it's all scooched over. I'm sure how it works though

bought Ṁ20 of YES

Let it be this market https://manifold.markets/DesTiny/how-do-you-cut-sandwiches?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ

predicted YES

@firstuserhere lol

What if the host can find a way to get "paid to be there"??

@BTE That's fine, as long as they make a real effort I don't care if someone's paying them to do so.

@ me if you wanna run this, I'll show up as a viewer

I have been thinking about doing a Manifold podcast and invite the top traders of the week/month or whatever to discuss their trades.

bought Ṁ25 of YES

@BTE oooooo that actually sounds kinda cool

And also discussing trends across markets compared to other prediction sites

bought Ṁ20 of YES

@BTE Sounds fun

predicted YES

@BTE https://manifold.markets/DesTiny/will-anyone-create-a-podcast-center

predicted YES

@DesTiny I forgot I could do this

@DesTiny Well now I am definitely doing it. I think I am gonna need a co-host (wink:suggestion). And we should try to get Manifold to endorse it as the "Official Manifold Podcast".

@DesTiny I also just discovered you can do a smaller embed using '%'

@DesTiny /DesTiny/will-anyone-create-a-podcast-center

predicted YES

@BTE oh shit thats wild, didn't know % did anything

@IsaacKing You wanna be the official "numbers guy" on the podcast?

@BTE What is a "numbers guy"?

predicted YES

@IsaacKing you know stuff

@IsaacKing Authority on the stuff you mentioned in a separate comment about the nuanced market math.

@IsaacKing or like the microeconomics of the tranche or whatever

@BTE I guess I could do that, but I don't have nearly as good an understanding of market math as @Gurkenglas or some others do.

@IsaacKing Don't you have the second most markets created? Really you and I should co-host because of the volume of content we have created. Lets invite @Gigacasting as our first guest trader!! LOL!

@BTE I think I'm first in total markets actually? Not sure since there's no leaderboard for that. (Also a bunch of mine are test markets that resolved N/A right after creation, which shouldn't really count.)