Will anyone publicly bribe me to resolve this market to YES?
Basic
14
Ṁ999
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
YES

This market resolves to NO, unless someone provides me with a bribe of at least M$200 to resolve it to YES. If such a bribe is offered, I will also consider larger bribes to resolve it to NO instead.

Bribes may be made in private, but I will publically post the quantities of any bribe offers I recieve so that traders can stay informed.

I will not bet in this market.

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Ṁ1,000
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predictedNO

unless people aren't paying attention

Ding ding ding! It's this one.

I have received a M$200 bribe offer to resolve this market to YES.

@IsaacKing In the case of multiple brides, would brides from different people for the same side stack? or would it just be the largest single bribe

@DesTiny I'll evaluate them in whatever way is most profitable for me. Multiple people can certainly team up to provide a large bribe if they so desire.

There's currently over M$400 to be made by betting on YES, so a bribe could be profitable!

@IsaacKing But if I bet YES and then bribed you, it would be more efficient for someone else to then bet NO and then bribe you. I could try to “outbid” infinitely, but that doesn’t work unless I can ensure that I have the most capital. So unless people aren’t paying attention, trying to bribe has negative expected value.

Huh, not sure why it put “unless” in spoiler text.

@Gabrielle Ah, but if everyone else reasons that way, then you can place one bribe and have no one else try to fight you!

Why is this market higher than the private bribe one? Surely a restriction on bribes should lower the chance of them occurring?

See also this market where private bribes are allowed:

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