Will anyone ask me to make a market about them?
8
200Ṁ2391
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
YES

Sometimes users want a market about whether they can be trusted. Them making a market on this would result in it being heavily skewed, since if the answer is no, they might resolve the market incorrectly.

A few examples of markets that could be subject to this bias:

https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/will-anyone-successfully-contest-on

https://manifold.markets/Yev/will-mattp-decide-any-of-my-markets-e61ca764273d

https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/can-i-be-trusted-to-buy-and-sell-tr

https://manifold.markets/jack/will-mattp-decide-any-of-my-markets

An easy way around this is to simply ask someone else (who themselves has a strong reputation) to create and resolve the market instead.

This market resolves to YES if any other user asks me to make a market about them for something like this reason by the end of the year. Otherwise it resolves NO.

If I think that someone is asking as a way to force this market to resolve to YES, I reserve the right to not count that one. (e.g. if they bet a bunch on YES before asking.)

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