Will any country that has not previously detonated a nuclear weapon detonate one by the end of 2024?
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1kṀ4838resolved Jan 2
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If it's uncertain whether a test has occurred, must be 50% confidence or greater. The list of countries that have already tested a nuke:
The United States
Russia (technically all tests were under the Soviet Union, but I'll count it)
The United Kingdom
France
China
India
Pakistan
North Korea
Israel
South Africa
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