Will an intervention be found by 2045 that reduces the amount of sleep needed in order to function by at least 25%?
Basic
7
Ṁ2502045
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
e.g. if there's a pill you can take that lets you sleep for only 6 hours instead of 8 hours each night and feel just as rested. It must work on at least 50% of the population.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will sleep be needed to live and function by 2040?
85% chance
Will a technology exist by 2030 that will cure insomnia?
33% chance
By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?
32% chance
Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?
41% chance
EOY 2030, what % of MIT undergrads self-modified to reduce their sleep needs using medical tools unavailable in 2023?
29
By 2030, will any treatment be shown to increase human lifespan in a randomized controlled trial?
Will a therapy that substantially slows down or reverses the aging process in humans be developed before 2040?
48% chance
By 2030, will there be a cure to aging?
13% chance
By 2040, will there be a cure to aging?
45% chance
Will brain death be reversible by 2070?
30% chance