Will a rover successfully rove on any planet other than Earth or Mars by the beginning of 2040?
14
1kṀ3242040
69%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Floating or flying "rovers" will also count, such as would potentially be useful on Venus or Jupiter.
In order to qualify as a "rover", it must be capable of moving arbitrary distances and have a long-term power source such as solar panels or an RTEG. A short term battery-powered craft doesn't count, nor does a stationary lander.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a human land on any celestial body other than Earth, the Moon, or Mars before 2040?
20% chance
Will a human step foot on Mars by 2035?
40% chance
Will a human land on any planetary body that is not the Earth, the Moon, or Mars before 2075?
73% chance
Will any human successfully land on Mars by 2030?
10% chance
Will a human step foot on Mars by 2040?
60% chance
Will the Curiosity rover still be operational at the beginning of 2030?
73% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2040?
55% chance
Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075?
75% chance
Will a human will set foot on Mars by the end of 2047?
74% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2041?
56% chance