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MANIFOLD
Will a robot be able to change a diaper with no mess or fuss in a domestic setting by April of 2028?
18
Ṁ1kṀ1.4k
2028
10%
chance

Inspired by https://twitter.com/dioscuri/status/1635673688723935235

Elaborate sheep-shearing style contraptions where the child is forcibly immobilised don’t count.

Must be AI-operated, not human.

There will be no AI clarifications added to this market's description.

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@IsaacKing Would a teleoperated or remote control robot count? Or does it need to be autonomous?

@JimHays AI

Who is going to trust a robot with that?

What does "in a domestic setting" mean? Lab demonstrations don't count? Robot must be in a real home occupied by a family, not a business (daycare, hotel, restaurant, ect.)?

@LukeHanks Hmm, I think a daycare seems fine to me.

My roboticist fiancee's opinion of this market. She specializes in dextrous manipulation.

Make of that what you will.

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