Will robots be able to load a dishwasher in the next five years?
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1kṀ8505
2028
80%
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Robotics
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bought Ṁ20 YES

https://youtu.be/XpBWxLg-3bI?si=72g5SCylq_ljuiBI

We are getting there

My profits 😭

Accidentally left a limit order too large, forgot to cancel it, got No. (I think the market was created because I wanted to make a Yes bet at 7% with someone at Manifest.)

@aok was it you I made the bet with? Alas, I lost most of my profits :(

bought Ṁ100 NO

@ms It was, yep! I still am bearish on this.

@aok why bearish? I think Figure would already be able to load a dishwasher if it just tried

bought Ṁ100 YES

We'll definitely see a robot loading a dishwasher before the end of this year.

@BairAiushin

Oops, my limit order for No at 50% was too large

Dishwasher unloading shown in the video (teleoperated though)

predictedYES

https://twitter.com/zipengfu/status/1742602881390477771?t=NgBkguLtcWtRwuG0AHi7Mw&s=19

Some robots? Any dishwasher?

@gigab0nus all robots, my dishwasher. :)

predictedYES

@gigab0nus Some robot, some normal dishwasher, messy kitchen

@ms Any particular success rate? What if someone tries 100 times, it succeeds once, and releases that video?

People are also trading

What year will the robot dishwasher market resolve?
Will a robot do my laundry before 2034?
69% chance
Will robots become our primary household chefs by the year 2035?
13% chance
By 2030, will dishwashers be considered as safe and effective as washing dishes by hand?
45% chance
Will a robot be able to change a diaper with no mess or fuss in a domestic setting by April of 2028?
10% chance
Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2040?
67% chance
When will we see a new market of home consumer robots like Star Wars droids emerge that do more then clean our floors?
When will the first robot be made that can go into a near-arbitrary kitchen and make a cup of tea?
2029
How soon until factory workers at Amazon,Tesla, Apple, Pride Mobility and such are replaced with humanoid robots?
Wil I be able to buy a robot that can assemble Ikea furniture reliably by the end of 2027?
20% chance
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