Will robots be able to load a dishwasher in the next five years?
42
347
750
2028
84%
chance

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ20 YES

My profits 😭

Accidentally left a limit order too large, forgot to cancel it, got No. (I think the market was created because I wanted to make a Yes bet at 7% with someone at Manifest.)

@aok was it you I made the bet with? Alas, I lost most of my profits :(

bought Ṁ100 NO

@ms It was, yep! I still am bearish on this.

@aok why bearish? I think Figure would already be able to load a dishwasher if it just tried

bought Ṁ100 YES

We'll definitely see a robot loading a dishwasher before the end of this year.

bought Ṁ0 of YES

Oops, my limit order for No at 50% was too large

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Dishwasher unloading shown in the video (teleoperated though)

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Some robots? Any dishwasher?

@gigab0nus all robots, my dishwasher. :)

predicts YES

@gigab0nus Some robot, some normal dishwasher, messy kitchen

@ms Any particular success rate? What if someone tries 100 times, it succeeds once, and releases that video?