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MANIFOLD
Robots reliably do my laundry by?
51
Ṁ6kṀ6.4k
2027
6%
Before Q1 2028
9%
Before Q3 2028
13%
Before Q1 2029
17%
Before Q3 2029
24%
Before Q1 2030
29%
Before Q3 2030
47%
Before Q1 2031
49%
Before Q3 2031
56%
Before Q1 2032
62%
Before Q3 2032

If some robots are commercially available to regular people and can reliably do my laundry from start to finish by <date> then <date> resolves YES

  • Update 2026-05-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The robot must be able to perform the full laundry workflow autonomously:

    • Locate and bring dirty clothes to the washing machine

    • Start the wash cycle

    • Move clothes to the dryer

    • Fold the clothes

    • Put clothes away in the closet

All steps must be done reliably without user intervention.

  • Update 2026-05-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the hamper requirement:

    • A robot that requires a specific type of hamper (e.g. cylindrical, cubic) that can be purchased is acceptable

    • A robot that requires purchasing a proprietary special hamper from the robot company is not acceptable

  • Update 2026-05-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding acceptable requirements for the robot:

    • A specific type of hamper (e.g. cylindrical, cubic) or detergent that can be purchased is acceptable

    • Modifications to the home (washer, closet, folding surface, floor, etc.) are not acceptable due to apartment restrictions

  • Update 2026-05-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Home modifications are not acceptable for resolution. The robot must handle the chores as-is; solutions that hard-code the environment (e.g. require proprietary modifications to the washer, dryer, closet, or floor) do not count.

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bought Ṁ10 NO

my washing machine can barely handle this reliably, i don't expect robots to get there much sooner

I just heard from the robot overlords and yeah, turns out you just need to stop using clothes and the problem solves itself, no robot needed.

I think there's a world of practical application for household robots that do things a little harder than a robot vacuum cleaner does, but only a little.

I love Boston Dynamics and Unitree, but lets also more practically, and certainly more profitably, make small, modest amounts of progress at the easiest types of pain-in-the-but household tasks.

You will need:

• Small, short wheeled robot.

• Box shaped part on top (without a lid).

• Raspberry PI computer.

• Python

• YOLO version whatever we are up to now.

• Simple arm/grabber, as little articulation points as possible and still have it work, if it has finger-like parts then 2 max.

• Lithium Batteries

• Resistors, capacitors, adaptors, etc…

• Lidar, or a camera, preferably a 360 one.

• Computer vision – RANSACK algorithm, and/or depth estimation using computer vision tech such as defocus and texture scaling, and/or using a neural network.

• Charging pad.

• Inner detergent box.

• Mobile communications hardware.

  1. Robot finds clothes on floor and maps the space as it moves using the lidar, and/or the computer vision approaches.

  1. Picks/sucks etc… the clothes off the floor using its arm and YOLO network, into its over body box.

  1. Identifies the washing machine the same way, operates it.

  1. Has a quick look around everywhere for more clothes.

  1. Gets the washing going.

  1. Schedules a wake up when the washing should be done.

  1. Goes and sits on its charging pad.

  1. Wakes up for a daily search for more clothing.

  1. Notifies you when it's empty of laundry detergent, so you can pour some more in.

  2. Change your laundry preference settings on the mobile app that talks to it over the WIFI.

I recommend setting the default market answer sorting to "Oldest".

bought Ṁ10 NO

Trying to tag @Gen but it's not working but it seems like whatever you did to change question bonuses is working because I'm seeing a lot more of "Actual Manifold Questions" lately.

@Eliza agreed, loving the questions

How does this differ from the laundry machine which washes your clothes? Does the robot need to be able to locate the dirty clothes and bring it to the machine or something like that?

@Eliza right, if it’s able to bring my dirty clothes to the machine, start the cycle, move it to dryer to dry afterwards, fold it and put it in my closet reliably while I browse manifold markets. Then it counts

bought Ṁ50 NO

@Mochi Sorry but the current timeline is that the robot will browse Manifold while you're doing the laundry

@vee perhaps if we buy enough NOs, some engineers will try make this happen and make some sweet mana doing so

@Mochi The washing and folding I feel can be trained. But getting clothes to the washer, and back in the closet, are a different kind of problem. In 2032 I'm gonna hold you to this!

@Mochi Does it have to pick up your socks from under your bed, or does it still count if you're putting your dirty laundry in a container for the robot?

@marvingardens I am putting dirty laundry in a basket so robot picking up the basket works

@Mochi And what if the robot's specs want that hamper to be in a different position in your room, because it can't reach the corner you currently have it in?

@marvingardens then I don’t think the robot can reliably do my laundry if a slight position shift throws it off

@Mochi So the robot needs to be able to retrieve the hamper from the exact position it is in today.

Ok, what if the robot requires its own proprietary hamper? That's also a NO, I presume?

@marvingardens right, it needs to identify my hamper, I can point the hamper to the robot but it should be able to handle the rest

@Mochi What if the robot requires you to use a special hamper but otherwise completes the task?

@Eliza requiring specific type (cylindrical, cubic etc) of hamper that I can purchase is fine. I won’t count if the robot company requires a specific purchase for their special hamper in order to achieve this task.

@Mochi So if the robot itself has an integral hamper for collection you're not going to count it?

@Mochi Do you have a washing machine in your home? Is it on the same floor as your hamper? Is there only one hamper being considered for this market, or multiple in your home?

bought Ṁ40 NO

@Eliza right, what if their hamper doesn’t fit in my home!

@marvingardens Yes, Yes, and only one hamper

bought Ṁ5 NO

@Mochi If the robot requires a proprietary modification to your laundry machine, dryer, or closet, I presume that is also a NO.

@marvingardens correct, the goal is to find a general robot reliably handling my mundane chores

@Mochi But on the other hand, you said requiring a generic "type" of hamper was fine; does the same hold for washer, dryer... closet doors... folding surface... floor... detergent...

@marvingardens “type” of hamper and detergent is fine, modifications to the home (washer/closet/folding surface/floor) are not fine because my apartment doesn’t allow these modifications.

@Mochi What if you move by 2032?

@marvingardens I will go by same rules that modifications to the home doesn’t count. The goal is for the robot to handle these chores, not hard coding the chores for the purpose of getting it done.