Will a human land on any celestial body other than Earth, the Moon, or Mars before 2040? | Manifold

Will a human land on any celestial body other than Earth, the Moon, or Mars before 2040?

Plus

19

Ṁ1166

2040

28%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

I propose we go to the Sun.

For those who claim it's too hot, I present the obvious solution:

we'll go at night.

What are the candidates here? Martian moons?

predicts YES

@GustavoMafra Also moons of gas giants, asteroids, dwarf planets and Mercury

Is it okay if I manipulate this market by blasting my enemies into the sun?

@MartinRandall That's fine, though perhaps inadvisable.

I'm gonna be disappointed if we don't throw a tennis ball to escape velocity by hand from Phobos before 2040

My similar market for 2050:
https://manifold.markets/DAL59/will-humans-land-on-a-planet-dwarf

Related questions

Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2050?

Will a human land on any planetary body that is not the Earth, the Moon, or Mars before 2075?

Will humans land on a planet, dwarf planet, or moon large enough to be spheroid in shape OTHER than the Moon or Mars by the end of 2050?

Will a human from any nation other than the United States land on the Moon and successfully return by the end of 2030?

Will a human land on the moon by this [YEAR]?

Will a country other than the United States land a human on the moon before the end of 2031?

Will any spacecraft land or otherwise come to be on at least 3 astronomical bodies before 2040?

Will a human land on the moon by 2028?

Will a human walk on Mars before 2040?

Will a human land on the moon before 2028?

Related questions

Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2050?

Will a country other than the United States land a human on the moon before the end of 2031?

Will a human land on any planetary body that is not the Earth, the Moon, or Mars before 2075?

Will any spacecraft land or otherwise come to be on at least 3 astronomical bodies before 2040?

Will humans land on a planet, dwarf planet, or moon large enough to be spheroid in shape OTHER than the Moon or Mars by the end of 2050?

Will a human land on the moon by 2028?

Will a human from any nation other than the United States land on the Moon and successfully return by the end of 2030?

Will a human walk on Mars before 2040?

Will a human land on the moon by this [YEAR]?

Will a human land on the moon before 2028?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules