Who will be the best-calibrated person on Manifold at the end of 2023?
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2.8kṀ9706resolved Jan 4
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If someone runs a script to check everyone, I'll resolve to the result of that script. (Adding an answer as necessary.) If not, I'll check the calibration graphs of everyone who's been submitted as an answer and resolve to the highest. If multiple people are tied, I will wait until the tie is broken and then resolve to that person.
Bots are ignored. Obvious manipulation is ignored. Anyone with less than 20 binary markets bet in and resolved is ignored. If Manifold changes how calibration is calculated, I'll use the old version if it's easily available, and the new version if not.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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