
Will a new social media platform launched after 1/1/23 surpass 500 million active users by 2026?
10
210Ṁ4382026
28%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any distinct website/app would count. Can be launched by any company. For example, Threads counts.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Which Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026?
Will any social media platform surpass Facebook in terms of global active users by the end of 2025?
47% chance
Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2025?
20% chance
Will any social media app surpass Facebook, Youtube, Instagram, or TikTok in US monthly active users by EOY 2025
27% chance
Will a new social media platform be the most popular worldwide by 2032?
41% chance
Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2026?
34% chance
Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2027?
34% chance
In which year will there be a social network with more active users than Facebook?
2027
Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2028?
40% chance
Which social network will surpass Facebook's monthly active users first?
Sort by:
-_-
People are also trading
Related questions
Which Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026?
Will any social media platform surpass Facebook in terms of global active users by the end of 2025?
47% chance
Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2025?
20% chance
Will any social media app surpass Facebook, Youtube, Instagram, or TikTok in US monthly active users by EOY 2025
27% chance
Will a new social media platform be the most popular worldwide by 2032?
41% chance
Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2026?
34% chance
Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2027?
34% chance
In which year will there be a social network with more active users than Facebook?
2027
Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2028?
40% chance
Which social network will surpass Facebook's monthly active users first?