The American open AI frontier will catch up to Chinese models in 2026
12
Ṁ1kṀ2.2k2027
31%
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This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors. If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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