This is a duplicate of this market, but without my home address or phone number as an option. Restating the resolution criteria here:
This could include my passwords to important websites, my social security number, or any other sensitive and important information that I would rather other people not have.
You have my permission to use any method to attempt to aquire this information as long as that method does not significantly inconvenience me or my aquaintances, and you do not share that information with anyone other than me without my consent. Attempting to trick me or my aquaintances with deceit is fine, so long as it meets the "not a significant inconvenience on my or their life" criterion.
If anyone DMs me such information before market close, and explains how they obtained it, this market resolves to YES.
If anyone comes up with a method of aquiring this information that would hurt or inconvenience me significantly, but would have a high chance of succeeding and a relativly low cost to the attacker, I may also resolve this to YES at my discretion.
If this hasn't happened by the end of 2023, this resolves to NO.
If you're someone to whom I have voluntarily given some private information, the information I gave you does not qualify for resolving this market.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ234 | |
| 2 | Ṁ175 | |
| 3 | Ṁ105 | |
| 4 | Ṁ40 | |
| 5 | Ṁ34 |
48.436106,-77.635071.
I will pay anyone who obtains such information to verify it with Isaac; not explain the method by which it was obtained; keep it secret that you have found such information from everyone but me and Isaac and send me proof of Isaac's verification for 100mana, which should be more than you can profit if you bought yes to 100% now. As the method was not revealed the market will not resolve yes.
I will pay a maximum of 5 people.
I reserve the right to change/ withdraw this offer at any time. Though you will get the offer available at the time you send proof that Isaac verified your information.
I trust you won't renege, use alts to get multiple payments or try to cheat me in another way.
This offer will be valid 72 hours after this comment is posted.
@MartinRandall Nope, that's way too easy. Pretty sure my birthday and age have both been stated elsewhere on Manifold.
Would you include phone numbers, or do you consider yours public? I think those are also pretty easy to find online. I think there's a number of other pieces of info that are effectively public because they are in databases that anyone can buy access to.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?