I've offered to send M$30 to anyone who joins the Manifold discord voice channel to get us up to 40 people. Will I do so?
13
10
270
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
YES

I will send a manalink for M$30 to anyone who joins the lounge voice channel if it gets us up to 40 people. (And stays in until we have 40.)

You don't have to participate, you can just join with your mic muted and the sound deafened and then ignore it until the end of the day.

For context, this is an attempt to manipulate this market.

You can join the discord here.

This market resolves to YES, unless something unforeseen prohibits me from following through.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ0 of NO

"I've offered to send M$30 to anyone who joins the Manifold discord voice channel to get us up to 40 people. Will I do so?"

Tempting to try to argue that the market should resolve NO. You will not send anyone M$30 to anyone who joins the manafold discord for getting it to 40 users, as the discord will not hit 40 users, and "something unforseen" could be the fact that you didn't forsee someone streaming cam would limit the channel to 25, at a time when there was peak interest yesterday.

predicted YES

This market resolves to YES, unless something unforeseen prohibits me from following through.

The discord limit was unforeseen, but it didn't prevent me from following through (since we didn't get to 40 people).

@IsaacKing ye, ultimately that's why I sold NO XD