Will at least 40 people come to a New Year’s Resolutions live event on the Manifold Discord?
23
39
450
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if there is a point in time on New Year's Day (in any time zone) when there are at least 40 people in a voice channel of the official Manifold Markets Discord server, and NO otherwise. If I'm not on at the time, I will require screenshot evidence. I won't check whether each of the people on the call resolves at least one market for New Year's.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicted NO

It's past 12 UTC so I think this can resolve.

bought Ṁ5 of NO

I will send a manalink for M$30 to anyone who joins the lounge voice channel if it gets us up to 40.

(You don't have to participate, you can just join with your mic muted and the sound off and then ignore it until the end of the day.)

predicted NO

@IsaacKing lmao this would be surprising if it it worked

predicted YES

@levifinkelstein M$30 for <5 seconds of effort? People literally just click the "join" button and that's it.

predicted NO

@IsaacKing yeah but then you have to make sure your computer is on and you can't use your discord account for other VS stuff

sold Ṁ25 of YES

@IsaacKing (You have to actually stay in the channel, obviously.)

bought Ṁ500 of NO

This will not work. If anyone has their video on, the channel is limited to 25 people. We just need 1 person with video in each voice channel (lounge and the destiny one) to stop team YES.

sold Ṁ24 of YES

@Yev Feel free to bet more on NO!

In the mean time, team YES should join anyway. It's costless even if we fail.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Gah, that 30% YES limit order went away at the wrong second.

bought Ṁ32 of YES

@Gurkenglas yeah I got lucky, or unlucky at just the right or wrong time lol

bought Ṁ40 of NO

@Gurkenglas uugh and then I hit sell on YES shares rather than buying no order, thinking there's no way it would spike back to 25% like that

bought Ṁ0 of YES

@Jacknaut I don't think Alana would have bought it back to 30% if you hadn't sold to 5%.