MANIFOLD
In what year will mainstream personal computers first be advertised as "quantum"?
9
Ṁ500Ṁ128
2100
25%
Other
1.4%
2030
6%
2060
2%
2025
1.4%
2020
3%
2020
2%
2022
10%
2023
45%
2050
3%
2049
Resolves based on the marketing for relatively inexpensive computers targeted at non-technical users. They don't have to actually *be* quantum computers, it could just be marketing nonsense. A single instance is not sufficient to resolve this market, it needs to a consistent feature of marketing by a large company comparable to what Apple or Microsoft is today. Answers should be a year number, such as "2030". If multiple people submit answers for the same year and that year ends up winning, I'll choose the answer that was submitted first.
Market context
Quantum Computing
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Iran Unveils ‘Quantum’ Device That Anyone Can Buy for $589 on Amazon
What Iran’s military called “the first product of the quantum processing algorithm” of the Naval university appears to be a stock development board.
Hmm, interesting. I think those count as isolated instances, not mainstream enough for me to resolve. Still, it shows that this could happen much sooner than I expected. I wonder if I should only be counting things that seem like they're actually trying to make people think there's something quantum going on (like all the quantum annealing hype that got presented as true quantum computing), and exclude obvious buzzword titles like those.
NexiGo Quantum-Flux CybertronPC Quantum
2020 NexiGo Quantum-Flux 2020 CybertronPC Quantum
If it is just marketing then I think it will be sooner.
As a marketing reoccurring stunt/gimmick.

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In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated?
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