If I make an FAQ about Manifold features and mechanics and host it on my website, will people find it useful?
15
30
resolved Apr 1
Resolved
YES
Resolves to yes if, in my subjective judgement, enough people appreciated the information in the FAQ that it was worth my time to create and maintain it. Mar 4, 11:08am: Resolves to N/A if I decide not to create the FAQ.
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bought Ṁ100 of YES
Leaving open until the original close date, but will probably be resolving yes.
bought Ṁ1 of YES
Sample size of one, but I found reading it useful.
bought Ṁ1 of NO
Uh. Disregard that!
sold Ṁ1 of NO
How long did it take you to make?
bought Ṁ1 of YES
FAQ has been made, here: https://outsidetheasylum.blog/manifold-markets-faq/ Took me around a day of research, so this market will resolve to whether at the end of the month I think that day was worth it. You can also help me verify that the information is correct here: https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/how-many-factual-errors-will-be-fou
bought Ṁ20 of YES
I would definitely find it useful, still don't know how fundamental stuff works (e.g. PROB resolutions)
bought Ṁ40 of YES
Since the last two nos are pretty obviously not about the probability per se, I'm just in here to make some fake money. :) I also think an FAQ would be very cool, and want one to exist! Particularly, I'd love an accessible explanation of the wizardry that determines payouts. With lots of examples.
bought Ṁ40 of NO
Same, I'm adding to the bounty. Although it occurs to me that if you're implementing a conditional prediction market to decide whether this is worth doing, then I should be buying YES here and NO in the complementary market. But since there isn't a complementary market (yet?) I guess I'm treating this more like a commitment market, where people bet NO as insurance and you get a bounty for making the answer be YES.
bought Ṁ20 of NO
I really want this exist, so staking NO as insurance that it doesn't (and a bounty for if it does)
bought Ṁ10 of YES
I'd find it useful! We could later create an official FAQ derived from it.
bought Ṁ1 of YES
@Gurkenglas Correct. If I make it and at the end of the month it does not seem that people cared (determined by page views, requests to add a question, etc.), I'll resolve to no. I'm not going to put a specific distribution on my likelihood to create it; I might become bored and decide to create it even if the market is low, or I might become busy and not create it even if the market is high.
bought Ṁ10 of YES
I certainly think it'd useful to have a FAQ - might even help the website to grow its traffic a bit
bought Ṁ1 of NO
You resolve NO only if the probability is high enough that you decide to create it, and then it turns out not to have been worth it? At what probabiltiies are you how likely to create it?

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