How many characters does it take to instantiate the smallest possible superintelligence in Python?
8
585Ṁ1369
2100
0.5%
0 - 9
0.8%
10 - 99
7%
100 - 999
10%
1000 - 9999
23%
10,000 - 99,999
24%
100,000 - 999,999
27%
1,000,000 - 9,999,999
5%
10,000,000 - 99,999,999
3%
Other

If you think it's higher than the largest bucket, bet on "other". If "other" becomes high enough probability, I'll add another bucket.

"Superintelligence" here means anything that can optimize the world for a simple goal, such as turning everything into paperclips.

In order for this market to be meaningful I have to rule out stuff like the computable reductions of AIXI, which are technically already superintelligences but far too slow to ever matter. A tentative restriction to that effect: Starting on a computer with 4 standard 2023 hyperthreaded 3 GHz CPUs, 16GB of RAM, and a 500GB SSD, connected to the internet at 100mbps download and 10mbps upload, without human awareness of its existence, it must be able to take over the (2023) world in less than 100 years. I reserve the right to modify this while conforming to the spirit of the market if I realize a problem with this definition.

This market measures the entirety of the superintelligence, including any external libraries or data files that are needed to run it. (Except the Python standard libraries; those count as a part of the language. Libraries written in a language other than Python are not allowed.)

Python 3.7, if it matters.

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