Nectome claims they have invented a groundbreaking preservation method:
We preserve the whole body, including the brain, at nanoscale, subsynaptic detail. We are capable of preserving every neuron and every synapse in the brain, and almost every protein, lipid, and nucleic acid within each cell and throughout the entire body is held in place by molecular crosslinks.
[...]
Unlike previous cryonics methods that required extremely low-temperature liquid nitrogen coolant, our method is stable for months at room temperature
[...]
we do have the evidence to say that we preserve all the information that would be needed for revival.
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/E9xfgJHvs6M55kABD/less-dead
This market resolves according to the first ten (or all, if <10) people preserved via their current protocol and who did not experience significant damage while in stasis. If they're all revived without significant neurological changes in personality or memories, this resolves YES. (If the number is 0, this resolves N/A.)
If science reaches the point where we can be at least 90% confident any of them are unrevivable to these standards, this resolves NO.
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If science reaches the point where we can be at least 90% confident any of them are unrevivable to these standards, this resolves NO.
Isn't that like the current point in science? There's IMHO a lot of evidence you are unlikely to ever reverse death (even under the ideal circumstances they assume) and those crosslinks seem quite difficult to reverse (which is almost unavoidable if they should also be stable).