By the end of 2023, will substantial evidence emerge that leaders in EA knew about (or had strong suspicions of) SBF/FTX's unethical investing practices and chose to cover it up?
20%
chance
Sort by:
GeorgeVii avatar
GeorgeVii
bought Ṁ100 of YES
BenjaminCosman avatar
Benjamin Cosman
is predicting NO at 15%
IsaacKing avatar
kazoo avatar
Trent Yazzo
is predicting YES at 16%
IsaacKing avatar
Adam avatar
Adam
sold Ṁ93 of YES
IsaacKing avatar
DwarkeshPatel avatar
Dwarkesh Patel
is predicting YES at 26%
IsaacKing avatar
Gigacasting avatar
jbeshir avatar
John Beshir
is predicting NO at 32%
IsaacKing avatar
FlawlessTrain avatar
Flawless Train
sold Ṁ99 of NO
IsaacKing avatar
DwarkeshPatel avatar
Dwarkesh Patel
is predicting YES at 34%
IsaacKing avatar
IsaacKing avatar
IsaacKing avatar
IsaacKing avatar
Mosiah avatar
Mosiah
sold Ṁ116 of YES
IsaacKing avatar
Mosiah avatar
IsaacKing avatar
Lauro avatar
Lauro Langosco
bought Ṁ30 of NO
IsaacKing avatar
PhilipHazelden avatar
Philip Hazelden
is predicting NO at 18%
KatjaGrace avatar
Katja Grace
is predicting NO at 18%
JonasVollmer avatar
Jonas Vollmer
bought Ṁ10 of NO
JonasVollmer avatar
Jonas Vollmer
is predicting NO at 34%
Preen avatar
Preen
is predicting NO at 39%
Lauro avatar
Lauro Langosco
is predicting NO at 40%
IsaacKing avatar
JonasVollmer avatar
Jonas Vollmer
is predicting NO at 36%
IsaacKing avatar
IsaacKing avatar
IsaacKing avatar
DeanValentine avatar
Dean Valentine
is predicting NO at 25%
IsaacKing avatar
finnhambly avatar
Finn
is predicting YES at 23%
IsaacKing avatar
IsaacKing avatar
DavidMathers avatar
Gigacasting avatar
Gigacasting avatar
IsaacKing avatar
IsaacKing avatar
IsaacKing avatar
ahalekelly avatar
noumena avatar
Rachel Shu
bought Ṁ100 of YES
DeanValentine avatar
Dean Valentine
bought Ṁ400 of NO
noumena avatar
Rachel Shu
is predicting YES at 25%
noumena avatar
Rachel Shu
is predicting YES at 23%
DeanValentine avatar
Dean Valentine
is predicting NO at 23%
tcheasdfjkl avatar
tcheasdfjkl
bought Ṁ100 of NO
GeorgeVii avatar
GeorgeVii
is predicting YES at 23%
DeanValentine avatar
Dean Valentine
is predicting NO at 26%
GeorgeVii avatar
GeorgeVii
bought Ṁ100 of YES
IsaacKing avatar
noumena avatar
Rachel Shu
is predicting YES at 28%
AllBad avatar
November
is predicting NO at 22%
IsaacKing avatar
IsaacKing avatar
Syl avatar
Sylphrena
is predicting NO at 31%
jbeshir avatar
John Beshir
is predicting NO at 26%
Syl avatar
Sylphrena
is predicting NO at 29%
mukimameaddict avatar
mukimameaddict avatar
Mosiah avatar
Mosiah
bought Ṁ100 of YES
IsaacKing avatar
FlawlessTrain avatar
Flawless Train
bought Ṁ100 of NO
Gigacasting avatar
AmmonLam avatar
kazoo avatar
Trent Yazzo
is predicting YES at 22%
IsaacKing avatar
AmmonLam avatar
Mosiah avatar
Mosiah
is predicting YES at 20%
IsaacKing avatar
DeanValentine avatar
Dean Valentine
bought Ṁ700 of NO