
By April 2025, will there be an AI that at least 1 million people trust for medical advice?
29
Ṁ1kṀ1.8kresolved Dec 10
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Inspired by https://twitter.com/morphillogical/status/1635646604274180097
Includes one that existed before April and then went away.
Must be trusted enough for people to make serious decisions based off of, not just the same way they use Google.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ50 | |
| 2 | Ṁ25 | |
| 3 | Ṁ23 | |
| 4 | Ṁ19 | |
| 5 | Ṁ19 |
People are also trading
In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
88% chance
Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care before 2030?
33% chance
Will AI be regularly used to diagnose complex diseases by 2028?
26% chance
Will there be an AI that diagnoses patients better than an average doctor prior to 2030?
75% chance
Will AI replace doctors by 2050?
46% chance
In 2028, will any major hospital advertise the use of AI as the primary method of diagnosis of human patients?
36% chance
In 2028, will at least 100m Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
16% chance
In 2028, will at least 35m (1/10) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
25% chance
In 2028, will at least 3.5m (1/100) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
70% chance
In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
92% chance
Sort by:
ChatGPT has 400 million weekly users. Do at least 0.25% of them use it for medical advice? Not sure.
People are also trading
Related questions
In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
88% chance
Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care before 2030?
33% chance
Will AI be regularly used to diagnose complex diseases by 2028?
26% chance
Will there be an AI that diagnoses patients better than an average doctor prior to 2030?
75% chance
Will AI replace doctors by 2050?
46% chance
In 2028, will any major hospital advertise the use of AI as the primary method of diagnosis of human patients?
36% chance
In 2028, will at least 100m Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
16% chance
In 2028, will at least 35m (1/10) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
25% chance
In 2028, will at least 3.5m (1/100) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
70% chance
In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
92% chance