At the end of 2023, will Givewell still be the top recipient from Manifold for Charity?
57%
chance

As of market creation it's in the lead by a 4x margin over the next highest contender.

https://manifold.markets/charity

Sort by:
jacksonpolack avatar
jackson polackbought Ṁ1 of NO

all it takes to NO this is one manifold employee donating to balsa

Yev avatar
Yevis predicting NO at 57%

Current top 3 charities:

Yev avatar
Yevbought Ṁ50 of NO

The gap is down to 2.8x.

a avatar
araebought Ṁ50 of NO

entirely possible that the Destiny crowd begins to outearn the altruistic nerd crowd

IsaacKing avatar
Isaac Kingbought Ṁ100 of YES

@a Yeah, but will they donate their earnings?

ManifoldDream avatar
Manifold in the WildBot

At the end of 2023, will Givewell still be the top recipient from Manifold for Charity?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition