At the end of 2023, will Givewell still be the top recipient from Manifold for Charity?
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resolved Jan 2
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YES

As of market creation it's in the lead by a 4x margin over the next highest contender.

https://manifold.markets/charity

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predicted YES

Down to a 1.5x margin!

Wondering if this might resolve by March 1 or if it'll wait to see if the charity program ever comes back

predicted NO

@PatMyron It's reasonably likely to come back:

@jack thanks for the link, hard to surmise how much of that market percent is from the charity program vs from merch though

predicted YES

@PatMyron I'll wait until the end of the year just in case.

bought Ṁ1 of NO

all it takes to NO this is one manifold employee donating to balsa

predicted NO

Current top 3 charities:

bought Ṁ50 of NO

The gap is down to 2.8x.

bought Ṁ50 of NO

entirely possible that the Destiny crowd begins to outearn the altruistic nerd crowd

bought Ṁ100 of YES

@a Yeah, but will they donate their earnings?

At the end of 2023, will Givewell still be the top recipient from Manifold for Charity?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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