Will a commercial propellant depot exist in orbit by 2030?
29
1kṀ36772030
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Similar to https://manifold.markets/Isaac228c/will-a-commercial-propellant-depot#uhju2jfqyml, but with less strict resolution criteria. Resolves YES if other does, OR if it is used by the same company who own the depot for independent commercial payloads (e.g.SpaceX refilling starships for GEO or other high energy payloads)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a commercial propellant depot exist in orbit by 2060?
92% chance
Will there be a manned commercial space station in orbit at the end of 2030?
68% chance
Will anyone propulsively land an orbital-class rocket booster within a decade of SpaceX?
26% chance
Will there be an inflatable space habitat in orbit before 2030?
37% chance
Will there be a manned commercial space station in orbit at the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2027?
89% chance
Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2026?
68% chance
Will space travel still primarily be using chemical propulsion rockets by 2060?
42% chance
Will there be a rocket with a payload to LEO of at least 500 Mg before 2035?
10% chance
Will there be commercial flights to the Moon in 2032?
27% chance