Will there be an inflatable space habitat in orbit before 2030?
50
1kṀ12442030
37%
chance
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Sierra Space recently tested their LIFE inflatable space habitat to demonstrate that it met NASA safety standards.
This market will resolve to YES if, before 2030, there is a space station or part of a space station in orbit that satisfies the following conditions:
It is listed on Wikipedia's inflatable space habitat page, or another similar page if this one no longer exists
It has a volume of at least 100 cubic meters
Humans have occupied it for at least 100 days
Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO at the end of 2029.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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