Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?

Question

Resolves YES if a human sets foot on the moon after 2000 but before 2030.

I keep an ordered list of human moon landing markets here:
@/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again

See also:

@/Mqrius/will-spacexs-hls-uncrewed-demo-laun

@/Mqrius/will-two-starships-dock-in-orbit-be-4762f93e6882

Artemis 2 timeline: @/Mqrius/will-artemis-ii-launch-before-2026

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 52% chance (245 traders, as of Apr 11, 2026).