Resolves YES if Grok (or any other AI created by xAI) is directly attributed to an event that either kills at least 10 people or causes at least US$1,000,000 in damages in a violent manner. For example, a genocide, a terrorist attack, or the release of a bioweapon would all count. Committing massive financial fraud would not count, since the financial damages would not be violent in nature.

I will not trade in this market (although, for the record, I think this is unlikely).

• Update 2025-07-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In response to a user question, the creator has clarified that an event will be considered “directly attributed” to Grok if it is a violent reaction to something Grok has said. For example, an attack on Grok or its infrastructure in response to its output would count towards a YES resolution.