I just read Sparks of Artificial General Intellegence, and am feeling pretty concerned.

I intend to evaluate the production versions more thoroughly over the next few months. I understand that the production version degraded in its abilities due to the safety training.

Shortly after market close I will read the paper again. The market resolves YES if, keeping in mind thet production version's abilities are somewhat dimished, I find the (case study? report?) mostly justified by my own evaluations and still concerning.

The market will also resolve YES if >90% of the people (deduplicated to the best of my ability) who comment seriously on the content of the report here express concern. The cutoff date for this will be a random day/time in June. Concern may change to lack of concern or vice versa by futher comments, and will be judged as of that cutoff date.

If neither of those conditions are fulfilled, the market resolves NO. I will not bet in this market.